Carabobo 4-2 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 13 Apr 2026

Carabobo
4-2 HT 2-2
UCV
📅13/04/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.42
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.97
Over 2.5
44%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.03
No
56%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
36%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
66%
-2.1pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
47%
+9.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
53%
-9.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
45%
-1.6pp
56%
BTTS No
55%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 16%
+7% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.27/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.54
-23% / +100% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
358 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
22.3 Crosses 15.7
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
1W-4D-1L
AWAY UCV
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.36 xG 0.92
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
297 Passes 187
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 12
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.12.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 0-2 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
01.12.2025 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
09.10.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VENK
02.10.2025 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VENK
24.08.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 4-1 HT 1-1 UCV UCV VEN
16.03.2025 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
4-2
AWAY UCV
2.54 xG 0.88
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
426 Passes 230
87% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo beat UCV 4-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carabobo had 62% of the ball to UCV's 38%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 2.54 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Carabobo and 0.83 for UCV.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs UCV?

Carabobo 4-2 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 13/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 64%, draw 21%, UCV 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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