Carabobo 4-1 UCV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 24 Aug 2025

Carabobo
4-1 HT 1-1
UCV
📅24/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
50%
-3.0pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.2pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.8pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carabobo EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY UCV EU Bookmakers 24%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +11%
1.30/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.10
-11% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
21.3 Crosses 20.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carabobo
2W-2D-2L
AWAY UCV
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.85 xG 1.15
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
333 Passes 240
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.03.2025 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
29.08.2024 UCV UCV 3-1 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
10.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
07.07.2023 Carabobo Carabobo 2-1 HT 2-1 UCV UCV VEN
06.05.2023 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
19.09.2022 Carabobo Carabobo 4-0 HT 3-0 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carabobo
4-1
AWAY UCV
2.75 xG 0.28
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
370 Passes 215
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Carabobo vs UCV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carabobo cruised past UCV 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Carabobo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Carabobo had 61% of the ball to UCV's 39%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.75 to 0.28.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Carabobo and 1.00 for UCV.

What was the final score of Carabobo vs UCV?

Carabobo 4-1 UCV in the Venezuela - Premier League on 24/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carabobo vs UCV?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Carabobo 47%, draw 29%, UCV 24%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carabobo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carabobo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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24 Aug 2025
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