UCV 1-1 Carabobo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 1 Dec 2025

UCV
1-1 HT 1-0
Carabobo
📅01/12/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.03
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.82
6+ Goals
8%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UCV EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Carabobo EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / +2%
1.06/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/0.81
+29% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +11%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
297 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 78%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.7 Crosses 19.5
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UCV
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Carabobo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.56
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
244 Passes 320
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.10.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 0-0 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VENK
02.10.2025 UCV UCV 0-0 HT 0-0 Carabobo Carabobo VENK
24.08.2025 Carabobo Carabobo 4-1 HT 1-1 UCV UCV VEN
16.03.2025 UCV UCV 1-1 HT 1-1 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
29.08.2024 UCV UCV 3-1 HT 1-0 Carabobo Carabobo VEN
10.03.2024 Carabobo Carabobo 0-1 HT 0-0 UCV UCV VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UCV
1-1
AWAY Carabobo
1.73 xG 0.79
34% Ball Possession 66%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
110 Passes 294
58% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 20
8 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UCV vs Carabobo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UCV and Carabobo shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, UCV had 34% of the ball to Carabobo's 66%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 1.73 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UCV had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for UCV and 1.00 for Carabobo.

What was the final score of UCV vs Carabobo?

UCV 1-1 Carabobo in the Venezuela - Premier League on 01/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UCV vs Carabobo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Carabobo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split UCV 32%, draw 31%, Carabobo 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Carabobo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Carabobo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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