Monterrey 1-1 Tigres UANL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 13 May 2024

Monterrey
1-1 HT 0-1
Tigres UANL
📅13/05/2024 · 🕒06:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2023/2024

Monterrey vs Tigres UANL Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.74
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.3
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1 EV+ ✗
20%
5.27
X/2
15%
6.07
X/X
12%
4.85
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.02
2/X
7%
12.8
Value flag · X/1 at 5.27 — our 20% vs market 14.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.5pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Monterrey v Tigres UANL — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tigres UANL EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.38/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.13
-11% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 80%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
18.8 Crosses 18.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3

Monterrey vs Tigres UANL Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tigres UANL
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.48 xG 1.04
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 370
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.05.2024 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-2 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
14.04.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 3-3 HT 1-2 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
24.09.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 3-0 HT 1-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
09.08.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 0-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey CONLK
21.05.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 0-1 HT 0-0 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL MEK
18.05.2023 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 1-1 HT 0-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK

Monterrey 1-1 Tigres UANL — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
1-1
AWAY Tigres UANL
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
366 Passes 361
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Tigres UANL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey and Tigres UANL shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Monterrey at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Monterrey had 50% of the ball to Tigres UANL's 50%, shots finished 12-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Monterrey and 1.50 for Tigres UANL.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Tigres UANL?

Monterrey 1-1 Tigres UANL in the Mexico - Primera on 13/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Tigres UANL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 42%, draw 26%, Tigres UANL 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monterrey) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monterrey) ✓ BTTS Yes
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