CSKA Sofia 5-0 Spartak Varna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 13 May 2025

📅13/05/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.25
Draw
25%
5.71
Away
16%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
76%
-16.6pp
25%
Draw
15%
+9.8pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Varna EU Bookmakers 11%
-16% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.77/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.93
-16% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / +0%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
474 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Sofia
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Spartak Varna
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2025 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
15.12.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 2-3 HT 2-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BULK
03.12.2024 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 3-1 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
03.08.2024 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
18.03.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Varna Spartak Varna BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Sofia
5-0
AWAY Spartak Varna
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Sofia swept aside Spartak Varna 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CSKA Sofia as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, CSKA Sofia had 65% of the ball to Spartak Varna's 35%, shots finished 21-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, CSKA Sofia had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for CSKA Sofia and 1.20 for Spartak Varna.

What was the final score of CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

CSKA Sofia 5-0 Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 13/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Sofia vs Spartak Varna?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Sofia win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split CSKA Sofia 60%, draw 25%, Spartak Varna 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSKA Sofia), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CSKA Sofia) ✓ Over 2.5
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BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
13 May 2025
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