Ahlafors IF 5-0 Herrestads — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
28%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+1.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
28%
+0.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.5pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ahlafors IF EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Herrestads EU Bookmakers 32%
+17% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
2.41/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.28
+25% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +43%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ahlafors IF
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Herrestads
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Herrestads Herrestads 4-0 HT 3-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
13.04.2025 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 2-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
13.09.2024 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-1 HT 0-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
17.05.2024 Herrestads Herrestads 2-0 HT 1-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
26.08.2022 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF 2-0 HT 1-0 Herrestads Herrestads İSÇ4
06.05.2022 Herrestads Herrestads 1-1 HT 0-0 Ahlafors IF Ahlafors IF İSÇ4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ahlafors IF
5-0
AWAY Herrestads
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ahlafors IF vs Herrestads
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ahlafors IF cruised past Herrestads 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ahlafors IF as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ahlafors IF had 58% of the ball to Herrestads's 42%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ahlafors IF had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ahlafors IF and 1.33 for Herrestads.

What was the final score of Ahlafors IF vs Herrestads?

Ahlafors IF 5-0 Herrestads in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ahlafors IF vs Herrestads?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ahlafors IF win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ahlafors IF 49%, draw 23%, Herrestads 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ahlafors IF), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ahlafors IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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İSÇ4 More Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland
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