Rakow Czestochowa 0-2 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 13 May 2026

📅13/05/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
1.91
Over
51%
1.84
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.67
No
44%
2.07
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.28
2-3
46%
1.74
4-5
23%
3.23
6+
6%
12.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.98
1/2
2%
31.5
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.98
X/2
11%
6.69
X/X
16%
4.76
2/1
3%
24.8
2/2
15%
4.7
2/X
5%
13.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.8 — our 3% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to / . Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Rakow Czestochowa The Market 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok The Market 33%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.71 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.40
0.98 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 78%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.77 xG 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 4
304 Passes 374
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
32 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2025 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
10.05.2025 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-2 HT 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
10.11.2024 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-2 HT 0-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
10.12.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 4-2 HT 2-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
22.07.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 3-0 HT 1-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
24.02.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-2 HT 1-1 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
0 - 2
AWAY Jagiellonia Bialystok
3.19 xG 1.28
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
433 Passes 268
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
52 Box Touches 20
40 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia Bialystok
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Jagiellonia Bialystok had too much for Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We leaned Rakow Czestochowa at 45% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, possession split 60% to 40% in Rakow Czestochowa's favour, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 3.19 to 1.28 — by the quality of chances, Rakow Czestochowa deserved more.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Rakow Czestochowa against 1.67 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Result & Final Score

Rakow Czestochowa 0 - 2 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 13/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Rakow Czestochowa vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 45%, draw 27%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 28%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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