Heidelberg United 2-0 Dandenong Thunder — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Jun 2025

📅13/06/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.1pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heidelberg United EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong Thunder EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -5%
1.12/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.40
-6% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 19.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heidelberg United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Dandenong Thunder
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
149 Passes 385
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
12 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 5
08.03.2025 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 3-2 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
31.05.2024 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 2-0 HT 2-0 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
24.02.2024 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 0-2 HT 0-1 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
20.05.2023 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 2-1 HT 0-0 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
17.02.2023 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United 0-1 HT 0-1 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder AVNPL
28.05.2022 Dandenong Thunder Dandenong Thunder 1-2 HT 0-2 Heidelberg United Heidelberg United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Heidelberg United vs Dandenong Thunder
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heidelberg United saw off Dandenong Thunder 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Heidelberg United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Heidelberg United and 1.17 for Dandenong Thunder.

What was the final score of Heidelberg United vs Dandenong Thunder?

Heidelberg United 2-0 Dandenong Thunder in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heidelberg United vs Dandenong Thunder?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heidelberg United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Heidelberg United 47%, draw 25%, Dandenong Thunder 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heidelberg United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Heidelberg United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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