Port Melbourne 2-2 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 13 Jun 2025

📅13/06/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.1pp
27%
Away Win
37%
-9.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 40%
+17% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
2.32/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.50
+39% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
23.1 Crosses 15.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Melbourne Knights
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.03.2025 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 3-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
25.05.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
16.02.2024 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 1-3 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
25.08.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-0 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
16.06.2023 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 0-1 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
18.03.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-3 HT 0-2 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Melbourne and Melbourne Knights shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Port Melbourne at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Port Melbourne and 1.50 for Melbourne Knights.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Knights?

Port Melbourne 2-2 Melbourne Knights in the Australia - National Premier League on 13/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated a Port Melbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 45%, draw 28%, Melbourne Knights 27%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Port Melbourne), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Port Melbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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