Horsholm-Usserod 2-4 Naesby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 13 Jun 2026

📅13/06/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.46
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
57%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
Over 2.5
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.33
No
39%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
26%
-3.7pp
21%
Draw
21%
-0.2pp
57%
Away Win
53%
+4.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
71%
-9.7pp
39%
BTTS No
29%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Horsholm-Usserod EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Naesby EU Bookmakers 57%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.36/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.05
+19% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
334 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 446 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Horsholm-Usserod
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Naesby
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
09.05.2026 Naesby Naesby 5-0 HT 1-0 Horsholm-Usserod DAN3
28.03.2026 Naesby Naesby 4-1 HT 1-1 Horsholm-Usserod DAN3
30.08.2025 Horsholm-Usserod 1-1 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
POST-MATCH Horsholm-Usserod vs Naesby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naesby saw off Horsholm-Usserod 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Naesby as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Naesby led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Horsholm-Usserod and 3.33 for Naesby.

What was the final score of Horsholm-Usserod vs Naesby?

Horsholm-Usserod 2-4 Naesby in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 13/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Horsholm-Usserod vs Naesby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naesby win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Horsholm-Usserod 22%, draw 21%, Naesby 57%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naesby), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Naesby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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