Ilves Tampere 1-0 TPS Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 13 Jun 2026

📅13/06/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.65
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.35
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
13.25
X/1
18%
4.45
X/2
6%
8.49
X/X
14%
5.2
2/1
8%
22.25
2/2 EV+ ✗
17%
6.35
2/X
5%
14.45
Value flag · 2/2 at 6.35 — our 17% vs market 11.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+0.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilves Tampere EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 27%
+7% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -5%
1.81/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.80
+13% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
381 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.1 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilves Tampere
6W-0D-0L
AWAY TPS Turku
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.05.2026 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 1-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİK
26.04.2023 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-2 HT 0-1 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİK
27.09.2020 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 4-0 HT 2-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
07.07.2020 TPS Turku TPS Turku 0-1 HT 0-0 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
25.08.2018 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere 2-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
30.07.2018 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-3 HT 0-2 Ilves Tampere Ilves Tampere FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilves Tampere
1-0
AWAY TPS Turku
1.41 xG 0.75
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
469 Passes 349
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
25 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ilves Tampere vs TPS Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilves Tampere nicked a narrow win over TPS Turku 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ilves Tampere as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ilves Tampere had 56% of the ball to TPS Turku's 44%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 1.41 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ilves Tampere had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Ilves Tampere and 0.17 for TPS Turku.

What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs TPS Turku?

Ilves Tampere 1-0 TPS Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 13/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs TPS Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 48%, draw 23%, TPS Turku 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilves Tampere) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilves Tampere) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FİN More Finland - Veikkausliiga
13 Jun 2026
15:00 Inter Turku vs Oulu Analysis →
17:00 Jaro vs HJK Helsinki Analysis →
17:00 VPS vs KuPS Kuopio Analysis →
19:00 IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan Analysis →
19:00 FC Lahti vs SJK Seinajoki Analysis →