IFK Mariehamn 0-3 Gnistan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 13 Jun 2026

📅13/06/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.87
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.03
Over 2.5
52%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.65
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.79
1/2
6%
21.8
1/X
5%
15.15
X/1
12%
8.89
X/2
20%
4.31
X/X
9%
5.37
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
22%
2.24
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
22%
+6.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.4pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-4.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.2pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Gnistan EU Bookmakers 57%
-13% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
0.89/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.08
-18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / -33%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
283 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 409 · 83%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.4 Crosses 15.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Gnistan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.98 xG 1.59
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
319 Passes 330
76% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
30.01.2026 Gnistan Gnistan 2-2 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
09.08.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-5 HT 0-2 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
03.05.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 2-0 HT 2-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
08.02.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 4-0 HT 3-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FLK
15.09.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 1-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
21.08.2024 Gnistan Gnistan 2-1 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
0-3
AWAY Gnistan
0.69 xG 3.39
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 9
10 Corners 3
330 Passes 263
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 40
43 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gnistan cruised past IFK Mariehamn 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gnistan as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 56% of the ball to Gnistan's 44%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.69 to 3.39.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gnistan led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 2.83 for Gnistan.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan?

IFK Mariehamn 0-3 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 13/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs Gnistan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gnistan win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 29%, draw 23%, Gnistan 48%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gnistan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gnistan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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