Jaro 2-5 HJK Helsinki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 13 Jun 2026

📅13/06/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.48
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
59%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.51
2-3 Goals
36%
1.87
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.93
1/2 EV+ ✓
12%
19.9
1/X
7%
15.95
X/1
7%
10.7
X/2
16%
4.26
X/X
9%
6.23
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
31%
1.95
2/X
5%
14.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.9 — our 12% vs market 2.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
19%
+0.8pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.3pp
59%
Away Win
58%
+0.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY HJK Helsinki EU Bookmakers 62%
-15% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.11/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/0.84
-36% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +7%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
225 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 84%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 38.4
20.8 Crosses 21.4
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
1W-1D-4L
AWAY HJK Helsinki
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.01 xG 1.73
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
190 Passes 402
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 29
15 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.07.2025 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 2-3 HT 1-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
11.05.2025 Jaro Jaro 0-3 HT 0-0 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
13.09.2015 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
22.06.2015 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 4-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
03.05.2015 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki 3-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN
31.08.2014 Jaro Jaro 1-4 HT 0-1 HJK Helsinki HJK Helsinki FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
2-5
AWAY HJK Helsinki
1.72 xG 2.24
43% Ball Possession 57%
15 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
330 Passes 475
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
27 Box Touches 42
19 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jaro vs HJK Helsinki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HJK Helsinki cruised past Jaro 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had HJK Helsinki as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jaro had 43% of the ball to HJK Helsinki's 57%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 1.72 to 2.24.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, HJK Helsinki led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jaro and 2.83 for HJK Helsinki.

What was the final score of Jaro vs HJK Helsinki?

Jaro 2-5 HJK Helsinki in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 13/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs HJK Helsinki?

Before kick-off our model rated an HJK Helsinki win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Jaro 20%, draw 21%, HJK Helsinki 59%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HJK Helsinki), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HJK Helsinki) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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