Auda 1-1 FS Jelgava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 13 Jun 2026

📅13/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
14%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
66%
+0.3pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.3pp
14%
Away Win
14%
-0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.4pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Auda EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.48/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.33
-17% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +3%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
29.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
22.6 Crosses 17.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Auda
4W-1D-1L
AWAY FS Jelgava
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.19 xG 1.11
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
388 Passes 253
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
29 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.04.2026 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-3 HT 2-1 Auda Auda LET
27.09.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-1 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
05.07.2025 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
15.05.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 3-1 HT 2-1 Auda Auda LET
30.03.2025 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
21.10.2024 Auda Auda 3-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Auda
1-1
AWAY FS Jelgava
0.79 xG 0.56
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
447 Passes 134
18 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Auda vs FS Jelgava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda and FS Jelgava shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Auda at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Auda had 59% of the ball to FS Jelgava's 41%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 0.79 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Auda and 1.00 for FS Jelgava.

What was the final score of Auda vs FS Jelgava?

Auda 1-1 FS Jelgava in the Latvia - Virsliga on 13/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Auda vs FS Jelgava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Auda 66%, draw 20%, FS Jelgava 14%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Auda), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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