FS Jelgava 2-3 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 Apr 2026

📅21/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.87
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
54%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.6pp
54%
Away Win
52%
+1.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 56%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -34%
1.23/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.96
+37% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +14%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
275 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.9
16.9 Crosses 27.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Auda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.02 xG 1.87
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
279 Passes 401
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-1 HT 0-1 Auda Auda LET
05.07.2025 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
15.05.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 3-1 HT 2-1 Auda Auda LET
30.03.2025 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
21.10.2024 Auda Auda 3-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
28.07.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-3 HT 0-3 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
2-3
AWAY Auda
1.79 xG 2.80
33% Ball Possession 67%
6 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
133 Passes 385
54% Pass Accuracy 81%
12 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 33
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FS Jelgava vs Auda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Auda nicked a narrow win over FS Jelgava 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 33% of the ball to Auda's 67%, shots finished 6-16, expected goals 1.79 to 2.80.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FS Jelgava and 2.00 for Auda.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Auda?

FS Jelgava 2-3 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 22%, draw 24%, Auda 54%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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