FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Tukums 2000 v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FK Tukums 2000 1-1 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
FK Tukums 2000 and BFC Daugavpils couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was BFC Daugavpils at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 47% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 53%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 1.30 to 0.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.17 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils?
FK Tukums 2000 1-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 30%, draw 23%, BFC Daugavpils 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (BFC Daugavpils), Over 2.5 went the other way.