FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Tukums 2000 v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
FK Tukums 2000 0-1 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
BFC Daugavpils nicked a narrow win over FK Tukums 2000 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had BFC Daugavpils as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 38% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 62%, shots finished 6-26, expected goals 0.46 to 1.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold BFC Daugavpils's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 1.67 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils?
FK Tukums 2000 0-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated an BFC Daugavpils win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 25%, draw 25%, BFC Daugavpils 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (BFC Daugavpils) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.