Super Nova 2-6 Riga FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 30 Aug 2025

📅30/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
10%
12.23
Draw
14%
5.71
Away
76%
1.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
3%
X/2
29%
X/X
6%
2/1
2%
2/2
38%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
10%
Home Win
6%
+4.1pp
14%
Draw
15%
-0.6pp
76%
Away Win
80%
-3.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga FC EU Bookmakers 84%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +3%
0.66/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.69/0.78
-8% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +48%
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
252 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 43.1
12.9 Crosses 28.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Super Nova
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Riga FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
0.42 xG 3.06
31% Ball Possession 69%
8 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
166 Passes 489
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 42
9 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
22.06.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
01.05.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-5 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
06.03.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
29.10.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
06.08.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 1-5 HT 1-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
31.05.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 5-1 HT 4-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Super Nova
2-6
AWAY Riga FC
0.68 xG 4.90
30% Ball Possession 70%
10 Total Shots 34
3 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 12
160 Passes 476
67% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Box Touches 74
10 Crosses 31
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Super Nova vs Riga FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC swept aside Super Nova 6-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 76%, and the 6-2 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Super Nova had 30% of the ball to Riga FC's 70%, shots finished 10-34, expected goals 0.68 to 4.90.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Super Nova and 3.33 for Riga FC.

What was the final score of Super Nova vs Riga FC?

Super Nova 2-6 Riga FC in the Latvia - Virsliga on 30/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Riga FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 76%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 10%, draw 14%, Riga FC 76%. The final score 2-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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