Riga FC 2-0 Super Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 22 Jun 2025

Riga FC
2-0 HT 1-0
Super Nova
📅22/06/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Latvia - Virsliga – 2025

Riga FC vs Super Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.11
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
3.81
No
54%
1.22
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
5%
X/X
6%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
85%
-15.6pp
18%
Draw
9%
+8.6pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
22%
+24.2pp
54%
BTTS No
78%
-24.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Riga FC v Super Nova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga FC EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Super Nova EU Bookmakers 9%
-1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +10%
2.78/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.19
+10% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +22%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
435 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 76%
45.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
31.5 Crosses 13.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5

Riga FC vs Super Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Riga FC
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Super Nova
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
3.21 xG 0.43
68% Ball Possession 32%
28 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
458 Passes 168
83% Pass Accuracy 65%
56 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.05.2025 Super Nova Super Nova 1-5 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
06.03.2025 Riga FC Riga FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
29.10.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Super Nova Super Nova LET
06.08.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 1-5 HT 1-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET
31.05.2023 Riga FC Riga FC 5-1 HT 4-0 Super Nova Super Nova LET
20.04.2023 Super Nova Super Nova 0-4 HT 0-2 Riga FC Riga FC LET

Riga FC 2-0 Super Nova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Riga FC
2-0
AWAY Super Nova
2.99 xG 0.09
73% Ball Possession 27%
23 Total Shots 5
13 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 1
576 Passes 151
91% Pass Accuracy 66%
32 Box Touches 7
32 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Riga FC vs Super Nova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga FC got the better of Super Nova 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Riga FC had 73% of the ball to Super Nova's 27%, shots finished 23-5, expected goals 2.99 to 0.09.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Riga FC and 0.67 for Super Nova.

What was the final score of Riga FC vs Super Nova?

Riga FC 2-0 Super Nova in the Latvia - Virsliga on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga FC vs Super Nova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 69%, draw 18%, Super Nova 13%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
22 Jun 2025
16:00 FS Jelgava vs Grobina Analysis →
20:00 Rigas Skola vs Auda Analysis →