FS Jelgava 0-1 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 22 Jun 2025

📅22/06/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.95
Over 2.5
51%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
56%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 24%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.52/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.58
-4% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
32.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
29.1 Crosses 23.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Grobina
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.46 xG 0.98
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
279 Passes 288
74% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-0 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
06.03.2025 Grobina Grobina 1-1 HT 0-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
09.11.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-0 HT 0-0 Grobina Grobina LET
23.08.2024 Grobina Grobina 2-3 HT 1-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
16.06.2024 Grobina Grobina 4-2 HT 1-1 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
28.04.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 2-1 HT 1-1 Grobina Grobina LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
0-1
AWAY Grobina
0.64 xG 2.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 11
209 Passes 279
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 34
21 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ FS Jelgava vs Grobina
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Grobina edged past FS Jelgava 1-0 away from home in the Latvia - Virsliga on 22 Jun 2025. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 45% of the ball to Grobina's 55%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.64 to 2.22.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava have the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.33 for Grobina.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Grobina?

FS Jelgava 0-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 22/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 52%, draw 26%, Grobina 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (FS Jelgava), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FS Jelgava) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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