FK Tukums 2000 0-0 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 30 Apr 2025

📅30/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.63
No
45%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-6.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS No
43%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -14%
1.44/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.34
-17% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -21%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.8
18.1 Crosses 20.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1W-1D-4L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.37 xG 1.46
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
293 Passes 231
75% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2025 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 3-0 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
21.09.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 0-0 HT 0-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
03.07.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 0-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
12.05.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 4-1 HT 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
30.03.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 3-1 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
01.09.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 3-0 HT 2-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0-0
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
0.72 xG 0.35
61% Ball Possession 39%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 2
420 Passes 244
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 and BFC Daugavpils played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was FK Tukums 2000 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 61% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 39%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.72 to 0.35.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 2.00 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils?

FK Tukums 2000 0-0 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 30/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 43%, draw 25%, BFC Daugavpils 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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