FK Tukums 2000 0-0 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
34%
-4.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Tukums 2000 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -10%
1.54/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.14
-9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 71%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
18.4 Crosses 20.9
3.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Tukums 2000
1W-1D-4L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.35 xG 2.10
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
312 Passes 232
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.07.2024 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 1-2 HT 0-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
12.05.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 4-1 HT 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
30.03.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 3-1 HT 1-0 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
01.09.2023 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 3-0 HT 2-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
26.06.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 3-1 HT 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
03.05.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 3-3 HT 2-1 FK Tukums 2000 FK Tukums 2000 LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Tukums 2000
0-0
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
2.28 xG 0.27
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
300 Passes 231
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
25 Box Touches 16
27 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Tukums 2000 and BFC Daugavpils played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was FK Tukums 2000 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FK Tukums 2000 had 57% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 43%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 2.28 to 0.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, BFC Daugavpils led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FK Tukums 2000 and 2.50 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils?

FK Tukums 2000 0-0 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Tukums 2000 vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Tukums 2000 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FK Tukums 2000 42%, draw 29%, BFC Daugavpils 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Tukums 2000), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Tukums 2000) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →