FS Jelgava 1-3 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.91
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
52%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
2.09
No
42%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
14%
+7.9pp
26%
Draw
20%
+5.4pp
52%
Away Win
66%
-13.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+2.5pp
58%
BTTS Yes
44%
+14.2pp
42%
BTTS No
56%
-14.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 70%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.40/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/0.91
-7% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +14%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
225 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 78%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
15.2 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Auda
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.58 xG 1.28
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
226 Passes 504
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.05.2024 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
13.04.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
28.10.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-2 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
06.08.2023 Auda Auda 3-0 HT 2-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
01.06.2023 Auda Auda 1-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
19.04.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
1-3
AWAY Auda
1.25 xG 0.85
41% Ball Possession 59%
20 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
292 Passes 461
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 16
14 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ FS Jelgava vs Auda
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Auda beat FS Jelgava 3-1 away from home in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28 Jul 2024. Half-time: 0-3.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 58%.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 41% of the ball to Auda's 59%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 1.25 to 0.85.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.00 for Auda.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Auda?

FS Jelgava 1-3 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 22%, draw 26%, Auda 52%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET More Latvia - Virsliga
28 Jul 2024
14:00 Liepaja vs Valmiera / BSS Analysis →
18:00 Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils Analysis →