Liepaja 0-0 Valmiera / BSS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
50%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.5pp
50%
Away Win
55%
-5.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liepaja EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Valmiera / BSS EU Bookmakers 59%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -25%
0.68/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.29
-12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -37%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
5.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
7.0 Crosses 25.7
3.8 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liepaja
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.68 xG 1.89
32% Ball Possession 68%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
153 Passes 425
62% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 37
10 Crosses 30
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.05.2024 Liepaja Liepaja 0-3 HT 0-2 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
14.04.2024 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 0-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
17.09.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-4 HT 0-2 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
29.06.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 1-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
27.05.2023 Liepaja Liepaja 1-2 HT 1-0 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS LET
18.03.2023 Valmiera / BSS Valmiera / BSS 0-1 HT 0-1 Liepaja Liepaja LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liepaja
0-0
AWAY Valmiera / BSS
0.92 xG 1.04
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 8
211 Passes 400
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liepaja vs Valmiera / BSS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liepaja and Valmiera / BSS fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Valmiera / BSS at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Liepaja had 38% of the ball to Valmiera / BSS's 62%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.92 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Liepaja and 1.67 for Valmiera / BSS.

What was the final score of Liepaja vs Valmiera / BSS?

Liepaja 0-0 Valmiera / BSS in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liepaja vs Valmiera / BSS?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Liepaja 25%, draw 25%, Valmiera / BSS 50%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Valmiera / BSS) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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