Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Riga FC v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Riga FC
LET
3-0
HT 1-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
1-1
HT 1-0
Riga FC
LET
Riga FC 1-0 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Riga FC squeezed past BFC Daugavpils 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga FC as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.
On the day, Riga FC had 66% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 34%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 1.63 to 0.21 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Riga FC's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Riga FC had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Riga FC and 0.17 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils?
Riga FC 1-0 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Riga FC vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Riga FC win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Riga FC 69%, draw 17%, BFC Daugavpils 14%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.