FS Jelgava 1-1 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 27 Sep 2025

📅27/09/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
-0.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+10.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-10.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.1pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.06/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.07
+8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 80%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
18.0 Crosses 22.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Auda
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.88 xG 1.76
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
226 Passes 453
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 30
15 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2025 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
15.05.2025 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 3-1 HT 2-1 Auda Auda LET
30.03.2025 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
21.10.2024 Auda Auda 3-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
28.07.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-3 HT 0-3 Auda Auda LET
23.05.2024 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
1-1
AWAY Auda
1.38 xG 2.11
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
452 Passes 243
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
35 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ FS Jelgava vs Auda
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FS Jelgava and Auda shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27 Sep 2025. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 62% of the ball to Auda's 38%, shots finished 18-20, expected goals 1.38 to 2.11.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda lead the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.83 for Auda.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Auda?

FS Jelgava 1-1 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 27/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 30%, draw 26%, Auda 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Auda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✓ Under 2.5
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