FS Jelgava 3-1 Auda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+8.0pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
46%
Away Win
54%
-7.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FS Jelgava EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Auda EU Bookmakers 57%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.28/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/0.87
+22% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +69%
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
252 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 432 · 83%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.9
16.3 Crosses 23.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FS Jelgava
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Auda
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.53 xG 1.54
34% Ball Possession 65%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
200 Passes 470
70% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 31
12 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Auda Auda 2-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
21.10.2024 Auda Auda 3-0 HT 1-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
28.07.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 1-3 HT 0-3 Auda Auda LET
23.05.2024 Auda Auda 0-1 HT 0-0 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava LET
13.04.2024 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-0 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
28.10.2023 FS Jelgava FS Jelgava 0-2 HT 0-0 Auda Auda LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FS Jelgava
3-1
AWAY Auda
1.43 xG 2.19
29% Ball Possession 71%
11 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
140 Passes 429
62% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ FS Jelgava vs Auda
Match summary & frequently asked questions

FS Jelgava beat Auda 3-1 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15 May 2025. Half-time: 2-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FS Jelgava had 29% of the ball to Auda's 71%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.43 to 2.19.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FS Jelgava and 1.67 for Auda.

What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs Auda?

FS Jelgava 3-1 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs Auda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 30%, draw 25%, Auda 46%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Auda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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