Metta / LU Riga 1-1 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 15 May 2025

📅15/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.67
Over 2.5
51%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.0pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 45%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.12/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.78
-16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 72%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
20.4 Crosses 17.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Grobina
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.52 xG 1.15
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
353 Passes 295
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2025 Grobina Grobina 2-4 HT 2-2 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
20.10.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 2-1 Grobina Grobina LET
27.07.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-2 HT 0-2 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
25.05.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
13.04.2024 Grobina Grobina 3-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1-1
AWAY Grobina
2.13 xG 1.09
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
341 Passes 220
77% Pass Accuracy 69%
29 Box Touches 20
27 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga and Grobina shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Grobina at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 58% of the ball to Grobina's 42%, shots finished 18-18, expected goals 2.13 to 1.09.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Metta / LU Riga had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 1.60 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Grobina?

Metta / LU Riga 1-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 15/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grobina win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 32%, draw 25%, Grobina 43%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Grobina) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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