Metta / LU Riga 2-1 Grobina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
22%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.07
Over 2.5
47%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.66
No
60%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.7pp
22%
Away Win
23%
-0.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
44%
+8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
56%
-8.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
56%
-15.8pp
60%
BTTS No
44%
+15.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Metta / LU Riga EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Grobina EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
3.24/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.70
+27% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
274 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
35.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
20.6 Crosses 21.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Metta / LU Riga
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Grobina
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.41 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
397 Passes 283
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
27.07.2024 Grobina Grobina 1-2 HT 0-2 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
25.05.2024 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga 1-1 HT 1-0 Grobina Grobina LET
13.04.2024 Grobina Grobina 3-0 HT 2-0 Metta / LU Riga Metta / LU Riga LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Metta / LU Riga
2-1
AWAY Grobina
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Metta / LU Riga vs Grobina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Metta / LU Riga nicked a narrow win over Grobina 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Metta / LU Riga as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Metta / LU Riga had 47% of the ball to Grobina's 53%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Metta / LU Riga and 1.67 for Grobina.

What was the final score of Metta / LU Riga vs Grobina?

Metta / LU Riga 2-1 Grobina in the Latvia - Virsliga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Metta / LU Riga vs Grobina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Metta / LU Riga win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Metta / LU Riga 57%, draw 21%, Grobina 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Metta / LU Riga) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Metta / LU Riga) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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