Valmiera / BSS vs Liepaja Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Valmiera / BSS v Liepaja — Team-Based Signals
Valmiera / BSS vs Liepaja Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-4
HT 0-2
Valmiera / BSS
LET
1-1
HT 0-1
Liepaja
LET
1-2
HT 1-0
Valmiera / BSS
LET
Valmiera / BSS 0-1 Liepaja — Actual Match Statistics
Liepaja edged past Valmiera / BSS 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Valmiera / BSS at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Valmiera / BSS had 60% of the ball to Liepaja's 40%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 1.93 to 0.43 — the balance of chances actually favoured Valmiera / BSS.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valmiera / BSS had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Valmiera / BSS and 0.67 for Liepaja.
What was the final score of Valmiera / BSS vs Liepaja?
Valmiera / BSS 0-1 Liepaja in the Latvia - Virsliga on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Valmiera / BSS vs Liepaja?
Before kick-off our model rated a Valmiera / BSS win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Valmiera / BSS 49%, draw 26%, Liepaja 25%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.