Brown De Adrogue 0-2 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
33%
2.77
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.36
Over 2.5
34%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.6pp
33%
Draw
33%
+0.6pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
70%
-3.7pp
34%
Over 2.5
30%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -32%
1.12/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.52
-4% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brown De Adrogue
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Almagro
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Almagro Almagro 0-0 HT 0-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
28.03.2022 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 3-0 HT 2-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
10.09.2021 Almagro Almagro 5-0 HT 3-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
30.04.2021 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 2-0 HT 1-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
19.12.2020 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 0-1 HT 0-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
12.07.2015 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 0-2 HT 0-1 Almagro Almagro ARJPBM
POST-MATCH Brown De Adrogue vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almagro saw off Brown De Adrogue 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) promised a tight game; Almagro found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almagro led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brown De Adrogue and 1.33 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Brown De Adrogue vs Almagro?

Brown De Adrogue 0-2 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brown De Adrogue vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brown De Adrogue win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brown De Adrogue 37%, draw 33%, Almagro 30%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brown De Adrogue) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brown De Adrogue) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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