Chacarita Juniors 0-4 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Jul 2024

Chacarita Juniors
0-4 HT 0-1
Quilmes
📅13/07/2024 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - National Primera Liga – 2024

Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.38
Over 2.5
28%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.29
No
65%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.4pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.5pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.9pp
72%
Under 2.5
69%
+2.8pp
28%
Over 2.5
31%
-2.8pp
35%
BTTS Yes
40%
-4.8pp
65%
BTTS No
60%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chacarita Juniors v Quilmes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.56/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/0.98
+36% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Quilmes
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.02.2024 Quilmes Quilmes 1-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
23.09.2023 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 2-2 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
14.05.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 0-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
23.04.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 2-2 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
17.10.2021 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-3 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
22.06.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 3-1 HT 2-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes ran out comfortable winners over Chacarita Juniors 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chacarita Juniors at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, no to both teams scoring (65%) landed while under 2.5 goals (72%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Quilmes led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 2.00 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?

Chacarita Juniors 0-4 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chacarita Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 42%, draw 31%, Quilmes 27%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Chacarita Juniors), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chacarita Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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