Quilmes 1-0 Chacarita Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.41
Over 2.5
41%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.7pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.4pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-2.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
67%
-8.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
33%
+8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quilmes EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.05/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.05
-6% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +62% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
242 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quilmes
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
23.09.2023 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 2-2 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
14.05.2023 Quilmes Quilmes 1-1 HT 0-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
23.04.2022 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 2-2 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
17.10.2021 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 1-3 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
22.06.2021 Quilmes Quilmes 3-1 HT 2-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
29.12.2020 Quilmes Quilmes 3-2 HT 2-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quilmes
1-0
AWAY Chacarita Juniors
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
7 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes edged past Chacarita Juniors 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Quilmes made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Quilmes had 54% of the ball to Chacarita Juniors's 46%, shots finished 12-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Quilmes had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Quilmes and 1.50 for Chacarita Juniors.

What was the final score of Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors?

Quilmes 1-0 Chacarita Juniors in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quilmes win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Quilmes 37%, draw 32%, Chacarita Juniors 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quilmes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Quilmes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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