Colon 4-0 Patronato — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
24%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.59
Over 2.5
43%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
24%
Away Win
18%
+5.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colon EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Patronato EU Bookmakers 21%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -14%
2.00/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.39
+44% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Patronato
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.27 xG 1.14
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
295 Passes 250
71% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.10.2022 Colon Colon 1-0 HT 1-0 Patronato Patronato ARJ
23.06.2022 Patronato Patronato 1-1 HT 0-0 Colon Colon ARJK
02.11.2021 Patronato Patronato 2-0 HT 2-0 Colon Colon ARJ
27.07.2019 Colon Colon 0-1 HT 0-1 Patronato Patronato ARJ
11.08.2018 Patronato Patronato 0-0 HT 0-0 Colon Colon ARJ
24.04.2018 Colon Colon 4-0 HT 2-0 Patronato Patronato ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colon
4-0
AWAY Patronato
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Colon vs Patronato
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colon ran out comfortable winners over Patronato 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Colon as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Colon had 54% of the ball to Patronato's 46%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Colon and 0.67 for Patronato.

What was the final score of Colon vs Patronato?

Colon 4-0 Patronato in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colon vs Patronato?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colon win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Colon 50%, draw 26%, Patronato 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colon), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Colon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJPBN More Argentina - National Primera Liga
26 Feb 2024
00:00 Racing Cordoba vs Tristan Suarez Analysis →
01:30 Chaco For Ever vs Deportivo Moron Analysis →
02:00 Alvarado vs All Boys Analysis →
02:00 Atletico Rafaela vs Gimnasia Mendoza Analysis →
03:45 Quilmes vs Chacarita Juniors Analysis →
23:00 San Miguel vs San Martin Tucuman Analysis →