San Miguel 1-0 San Martin Tucuman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.53
Draw
45%
2.83
Away
27%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.36
Over 2.5
27%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
45%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
26%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
36%
-7.9pp
45%
Draw
32%
+13.5pp
27%
Away Win
32%
-5.6pp
73%
Under 2.5
70%
+2.7pp
27%
Over 2.5
30%
-2.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+3.2pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Miguel EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY San Martin Tucuman EU Bookmakers 36%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -10%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.73
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Miguel
1-0
AWAY San Martin Tucuman
43% Ball Possession 57%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH San Miguel vs San Martin Tucuman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Miguel edged past San Martin Tucuman 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, San Miguel had 43% of the ball to San Martin Tucuman's 57%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of San Miguel vs San Martin Tucuman?

San Miguel 1-0 San Martin Tucuman in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Miguel vs San Martin Tucuman?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split San Miguel 28%, draw 45%, San Martin Tucuman 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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