Alvarado 1-0 All Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
34%
2.94
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.44
Over 2.5
28%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.2pp
34%
Draw
31%
+3.6pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.3pp
72%
Under 2.5
66%
+5.8pp
28%
Over 2.5
34%
-5.8pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.5pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alvarado EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY All Boys EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.55/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.16
+20% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alvarado
0W-1D-2L
AWAY All Boys
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
20.08.2023 Alvarado Alvarado 0-0 HT 0-0 All Boys All Boys ARJPBN
08.04.2023 All Boys All Boys 2-1 HT 0-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
05.06.2022 All Boys All Boys 3-1 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alvarado
1-0
AWAY All Boys
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 17
1 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Alvarado vs All Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvarado edged past All Boys 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Alvarado as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Alvarado had 46% of the ball to All Boys's 54%, shots finished 5-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, All Boys led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alvarado and 1.67 for All Boys.

What was the final score of Alvarado vs All Boys?

Alvarado 1-0 All Boys in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alvarado vs All Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alvarado win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Alvarado 44%, draw 34%, All Boys 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alvarado), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alvarado) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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