All Boys 1-0 Alvarado — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
39%
2.77
Away
22%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.44
No
68%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.3pp
39%
Draw
32%
+6.1pp
22%
Away Win
27%
-4.8pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.1pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.1pp
32%
BTTS Yes
37%
-4.9pp
68%
BTTS No
63%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME All Boys EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvarado EU Bookmakers 31%
+10% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +6%
1.17/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.23
+1% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
268 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME All Boys
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Alvarado
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
26.02.2024 Alvarado Alvarado 1-0 HT 1-0 All Boys All Boys ARJPBN
20.08.2023 Alvarado Alvarado 0-0 HT 0-0 All Boys All Boys ARJPBN
08.04.2023 All Boys All Boys 2-1 HT 0-1 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
05.06.2022 All Boys All Boys 3-1 HT 1-0 Alvarado Alvarado ARJPBN
POST-MATCH All Boys vs Alvarado
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

All Boys edged past Alvarado 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 39% / 22% — and on the day All Boys made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (68%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, All Boys had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for All Boys and 0.75 for Alvarado.

What was the final score of All Boys vs Alvarado?

All Boys 1-0 Alvarado in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for All Boys vs Alvarado?

Before kick-off our model rated a All Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split All Boys 39%, draw 39%, Alvarado 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (39/39/22) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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