Sparta Prag 2-2 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
29%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.43
Over 2.5
56%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
34%
+8.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
42%
-13.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.0pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 46%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+32% / +109% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
341 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag
2-2
AWAY Salzburg
0.59 xG 1.63
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
316 Passes 466
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 26
9 Crosses 6
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag and Salzburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Sparta Prag at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Sparta Prag had 42% of the ball to Salzburg's 58%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.59 to 1.63.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag vs Salzburg?

Sparta Prag 2-2 Salzburg in the Friendlies on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag 43%, draw 28%, Salzburg 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sparta Prag) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sparta Prag) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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