Cesar Vallejo vs Alianza Lima Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cesar Vallejo v Alianza Lima — Team-Based Signals
Cesar Vallejo vs Alianza Lima Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-0
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Cesar Vallejo
PER
3-2
HT 1-1
Alianza Lima
PER
2-0
HT 1-0
Cesar Vallejo
PER
0-1
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
Cesar Vallejo 2-3 Alianza Lima — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima squeezed past Cesar Vallejo 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cesar Vallejo had 51% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 49%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.16 to 2.07 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alianza Lima's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Cesar Vallejo and 1.67 for Alianza Lima.
What was the final score of Cesar Vallejo vs Alianza Lima?
Cesar Vallejo 2-3 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cesar Vallejo vs Alianza Lima?
Before kick-off our model rated an Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Cesar Vallejo 27%, draw 28%, Alianza Lima 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.