Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 Cienciano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
34%
Draw
28%
+5.7pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-7.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.7pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Comerciantes Unidos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Cienciano EU Bookmakers 42%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
0.70/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.33
+49% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
291 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 76%
12.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
20.0 Crosses 20.7
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Cienciano
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.16 xG 1.55
56% Ball Possession 44%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
279 Passes 209
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
4 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Cienciano Cienciano 1-0 HT 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Comerciantes Unidos
1-2
AWAY Cienciano
1.07 xG 0.90
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
215 Passes 182
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cienciano edged past Comerciantes Unidos 2-1 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 34% / 30% — and on the day Cienciano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Comerciantes Unidos had 54% of the ball to Cienciano's 46%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.07 to 0.90.

What was the final score of Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

Comerciantes Unidos 1-2 Cienciano in the Peru - Premier League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Comerciantes Unidos vs Cienciano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Comerciantes Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Comerciantes Unidos 36%, draw 34%, Cienciano 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Comerciantes Unidos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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