Rampla Juniors 3-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 13 Jul 2024

📅13/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
48%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
48%
Away Win
47%
+0.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rampla Juniors EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 51%
-7% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +24%
0.78/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.71
-28% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rampla Juniors
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
54% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
25.05.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-2 HT 1-1 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
17.10.2019 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-0 HT 0-0 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors URU
25.08.2019 Rampla Juniors Rampla Juniors 1-2 HT 0-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rampla Juniors
3-2
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rampla Juniors vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rampla Juniors nicked a narrow win over Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 3-2. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Liverpool FC (Montevideo) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rampla Juniors had 49% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 51%, shots finished 8-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rampla Juniors and 1.33 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Rampla Juniors vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Rampla Juniors 3-2 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 13/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rampla Juniors vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rampla Juniors 26%, draw 26%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 48%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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