Colon 1-0 Almirante Brown — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒19:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
Over 2.5
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.51
No
54%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.1pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
36%
+9.9pp
54%
BTTS No
64%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colon EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Almirante Brown EU Bookmakers 22%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
0.94/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.32
-26% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Colon
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Almirante Brown
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Corners 0
10.03.2025 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 2-0 HT 1-0 Colon Colon ARJPBN
07.07.2024 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 0-0 HT 0-0 Colon Colon ARJPBN
19.02.2024 Colon Colon 2-1 HT 1-0 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Colon vs Almirante Brown
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colon squeezed past Almirante Brown 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Colon as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Colon and 1.00 for Almirante Brown.

What was the final score of Colon vs Almirante Brown?

Colon 1-0 Almirante Brown in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colon vs Almirante Brown?

Before kick-off our model rated a Colon win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Colon 42%, draw 32%, Almirante Brown 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colon) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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