Defensores De Belgrano 1-2 Nueva Chicago — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒01:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
1.96
Draw
41%
2.83
Away
28%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
Over 2.5
27%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
47%
-15.5pp
41%
Draw
32%
+8.9pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.9pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Nueva Chicago EU Bookmakers 25%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
0.82/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.97
-32% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
347 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores De Belgrano
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Nueva Chicago
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
11.03.2025 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
30.06.2024 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 0-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
11.02.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
06.10.2023 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 2-1 HT 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
31.05.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
28.03.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-1 HT 1-0 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Defensores De Belgrano vs Nueva Chicago
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nueva Chicago squeezed past Defensores De Belgrano 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.50 for Nueva Chicago.

What was the final score of Defensores De Belgrano vs Nueva Chicago?

Defensores De Belgrano 1-2 Nueva Chicago in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores De Belgrano vs Nueva Chicago?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Defensores De Belgrano 31%, draw 41%, Nueva Chicago 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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