Deportivo Maipu 2-1 Ferro Carril Oeste — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
38%
2.88
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.4
No
46%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
-11.8pp
38%
Draw
31%
+6.7pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
38%
+16.7pp
46%
BTTS No
62%
-16.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -7%
1.31/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.26
+10% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Ferro Carril Oeste
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
09.03.2025 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
30.09.2024 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 2-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
12.05.2024 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 2-1 HT 0-1 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
06.08.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 0-0 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste ARJPBN
03.04.2023 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
22.02.2022 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Ferro Carril Oeste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu nicked a narrow win over Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 38% / 27% — and on the day Deportivo Maipu made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 0.83 for Ferro Carril Oeste.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Deportivo Maipu 2-1 Ferro Carril Oeste in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Ferro Carril Oeste?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 35%, draw 38%, Ferro Carril Oeste 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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