Deportivo Madryn 2-1 Almagro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.67
No
54%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.9pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
33%
+12.3pp
54%
BTTS No
67%
-12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Madryn EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Almagro EU Bookmakers 15%
+10% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.43/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.38
+2% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
404 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Madryn
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Almagro
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
08.03.2025 Almagro Almagro 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
25.08.2024 Almagro Almagro 0-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
07.04.2024 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 2-0 HT 2-0 Almagro Almagro ARJPBN
14.08.2022 Almagro Almagro 1-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Madryn vs Almagro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Madryn edged past Almagro 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Deportivo Madryn as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Deportivo Madryn had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Deportivo Madryn and 0.50 for Almagro.

What was the final score of Deportivo Madryn vs Almagro?

Deportivo Madryn 2-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Madryn vs Almagro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Madryn win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Madryn 52%, draw 27%, Almagro 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Madryn) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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