Pacific FC 3-2 HFX Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kanada - Premier League, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
31%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
32%
+11.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
41%
-9.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.9pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pacific FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY HFX Wanderers EU Bookmakers 45%
-17% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.20/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.05
-11% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -13%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 80%
20.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
19.3 Crosses 18.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pacific FC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY HFX Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.19 xG 1.19
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
290 Passes 428
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
19.09.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 2-2 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC KAPL
08.09.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 3-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers KAPL
08.06.2024 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
14.04.2024 Pacific FC Pacific FC 1-0 HT 1-0 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers CAPL
14.10.2023 HFX Wanderers HFX Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Pacific FC Pacific FC CAPL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pacific FC
3-2
AWAY HFX Wanderers
2.10 xG 2.41
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 396
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 40
10 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pacific FC squeezed past HFX Wanderers 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pacific FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Pacific FC had 44% of the ball to HFX Wanderers's 56%, shots finished 10-22, expected goals 2.10 to 2.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pacific FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pacific FC and 0.83 for HFX Wanderers.

What was the final score of Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers?

Pacific FC 3-2 HFX Wanderers in the Kanada - Premier League on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pacific FC vs HFX Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pacific FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Pacific FC 43%, draw 25%, HFX Wanderers 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pacific FC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pacific FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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