Santos Laguna 3-0 Pumas UNAM — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 13 Jul 2025

📅13/07/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
2.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
15.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+3.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
1.19/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.17
+4% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
300 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.3
19.8 Crosses 18.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santos Laguna
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pumas UNAM
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.67 xG 1.69
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 20
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
281 Passes 337
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.04.2025 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
14.07.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 1-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
19.02.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-0 HT 2-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
03.09.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-1 HT 2-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
15.01.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-0 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
21.08.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-5 HT 0-3 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santos Laguna
3-0
AWAY Pumas UNAM
0.64 xG 0.58
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 5
235 Passes 318
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Santos Laguna vs Pumas UNAM
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santos Laguna cruised past Pumas UNAM 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Santos Laguna found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Santos Laguna had 45% of the ball to Pumas UNAM's 55%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.64 to 0.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Santos Laguna and 1.33 for Pumas UNAM.

What was the final score of Santos Laguna vs Pumas UNAM?

Santos Laguna 3-0 Pumas UNAM in the Mexico - Primera on 13/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santos Laguna vs Pumas UNAM?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santos Laguna 32%, draw 27%, Pumas UNAM 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Pumas UNAM), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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