Pumas UNAM 2-0 Santos Laguna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒06:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.34
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
70%
-15.0pp
25%
Draw
18%
+6.2pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pumas UNAM EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos Laguna EU Bookmakers 15%
-4% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -7%
1.70/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.04
-24% / +51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
376 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 76%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
22.7 Crosses 13.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.76 xG 1.93
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
334 Passes 254
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 23
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.07.2024 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 1-1 HT 1-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
19.02.2024 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 3-0 HT 2-0 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
03.09.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 2-1 HT 2-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
15.01.2023 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-0 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
21.08.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 1-5 HT 0-3 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna MEK
03.03.2022 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 3-2 HT 1-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
2-0
AWAY Santos Laguna
1.30 xG 0.48
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
356 Passes 375
86% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pumas UNAM vs Santos Laguna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pumas UNAM got the better of Santos Laguna 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 49% of the ball to Santos Laguna's 51%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.30 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos Laguna led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Pumas UNAM and 2.33 for Santos Laguna.

What was the final score of Pumas UNAM vs Santos Laguna?

Pumas UNAM 2-0 Santos Laguna in the Mexico - Primera on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pumas UNAM vs Santos Laguna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 55%, draw 25%, Santos Laguna 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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