Queretaro 1-2 Atlas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Apr 2025

Queretaro
1-2 HT 0-1
Atlas
📅17/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Mexico - Primera – 2024/2025

Queretaro vs Atlas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.84
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
21%
3.78
6+ Goals
11%
16.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
40%
Away Win
42%
-2.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queretaro v Atlas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queretaro EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlas EU Bookmakers 46%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.32/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.30
-6% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -4%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
277 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 79%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
19.6 Crosses 15.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Queretaro vs Atlas Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queretaro
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Atlas
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.44 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
271 Passes 350
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 24
19 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Atlas Atlas 0-1 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
01.04.2024 Atlas Atlas 2-3 HT 2-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
31.08.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 1-2 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK
23.01.2023 Queretaro Queretaro 3-3 HT 2-2 Atlas Atlas MEK
05.08.2022 Atlas Atlas 3-1 HT 0-1 Queretaro Queretaro MEK
06.03.2022 Queretaro Queretaro 0-3 HT 0-1 Atlas Atlas MEK

Queretaro 1-2 Atlas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Queretaro
1-2
AWAY Atlas
1.29 xG 1.02
53% Ball Possession 47%
19 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 1
361 Passes 341
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
33 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Queretaro vs Atlas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlas edged past Queretaro 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 29% / 40%) promised a tight game; Atlas found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Queretaro had 53% of the ball to Atlas's 47%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.29 to 1.02.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atlas led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Queretaro and 2.17 for Atlas.

What was the final score of Queretaro vs Atlas?

Queretaro 1-2 Atlas in the Mexico - Primera on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queretaro vs Atlas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atlas win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Queretaro 31%, draw 29%, Atlas 40%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atlas), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atlas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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