Monterrey 1-0 Club America — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
3.35
6+ Goals
12%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.0pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monterrey EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Club America EU Bookmakers 42%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.29/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.05
+8% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 79%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
21.0 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monterrey
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Club America
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.90 xG 1.41
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
384 Passes 399
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.12.2024 Monterrey Monterrey 1-1 HT 0-1 Club America Club America MEK
13.12.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
28.10.2024 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 0-0 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
04.02.2024 Club America Club America 1-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
29.10.2023 Monterrey Monterrey 0-3 HT 0-3 Club America Club America MEK
09.04.2023 Club America Club America 2-1 HT 1-1 Monterrey Monterrey MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monterrey
1-0
AWAY Club America
0.61 xG 0.45
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
349 Passes 371
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
17 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monterrey vs Club America
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monterrey nicked a narrow win over Club America 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) promised a tight game; Monterrey found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Monterrey had 49% of the ball to Club America's 51%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.61 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club America led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Monterrey and 1.83 for Club America.

What was the final score of Monterrey vs Club America?

Monterrey 1-0 Club America in the Mexico - Primera on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monterrey vs Club America?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monterrey win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Monterrey 39%, draw 25%, Club America 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monterrey) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monterrey) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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